A little less wiggle room.

Iran is testing its first nuclear power plant. Today. And it states, firmly, that it expects to have 50,000 centrifuges set up to enrich uranium within the next five years.

Iran categorically denies that it's aiming at weaponized nuclear technology. However. They're a hard-line, radical, Islamofacist government that eagerly anticipates the Apocalypse. And the Koran states that it is more than permissible to lie to unbelievers.

Unless either we (unlikely) or Israel (impossible to know how much more likely) do something, Iran will probably have the capability to wipe Israel off the map within the year. They won't stop there, either--we'll be next.